Model analyst Shane Okas awaits the final event in Rosehill on Saturday for his best bet in Gerald Ryan and Sherry star Alexio Sterling.
Daily Telegraph analyst Shane Okas runs the rule on every race, including suggested bets, at the Rosehill meeting on Saturday.
Model: A complete Thoroughbred NSW Racing model, including video replays and everything you need to know about every horse, jockey and trainer. Find a winner here!
a path: soft 7. Railroad: outside 3 pm
The first race: the real estate agency obstacle (1300m)
Abstract: Kir Royale faces another test of her ability to rise again in class but so far she has jumped at every obstacle and done it like a horse not yet finished. She’s talented enough to win regardless, but a 1.5kg claim can make all the difference if you come close. Kanazawa was great at debuting but couldn’t support him next time which is the small query but it was a very strong race (I Lethal et al). Centimental is this company’s right and it would be hard to beat them with the added fitness of that first honorable round.
the bet: Care Royal to win
Race 2: Davale Obstacle (1100m)
Abstract: Metallicity is up $2, but his $11 quote in Inglis Millennium’s $2 million February 5th is significant given that he will definitely come “in” a few points or a fair few points if he goes into his trials this weekend. Nice horse. Flashing Steel looked good in his trials, no more than a heat win at Warwick Farm five days ago. Draw against him on paper. Lots of admiration about Matthew Dunn’s Street Smarts here. She is the only one with racing experience and the experiences going back to this have been very solid.
the bet: metal to win
Race 3: TAP Highway Obstacle (1500m)
Abstract: Banju was brave in defeat when the King’s Trust – only – beat him when the two met in Randwick on December 18. Fortune smiled at the former as he backed and won a highway at Kensington Track on New Year’s Day. A simple case of “why not again” for him. Big money on Wednesday for Gerry Harvey/Joe Cleary mare Pruscino who has missed a place only twice in all nine games. Lord Desanimo can never be excluded from any highway race, so it seems like an attractive bet on the odds of “every way”.
the bet: King’s confidence to win
Race 4: Midway Obstacle (1200m)
Abstract: Sky Command was a double acceptor that day but he’s got a good draw on this and there’s no Key Largo which will make his job easier. However, there seems to be a lot of pressure here with the likes of Eyewitness and maybe even Easy Campese but he seems to have an ability above Midway’s level. The Evening Bride can be the ultimate benefactor of forms that can serve as a fast running race that is set up for the individual to pounce. The caveat is that it will need to “exit” from barrier 2.
the bet: Lead the sky to victory
Race 5: Highland Colors Handicap (2000m)
Abstract: Amika ran out of skin in Group 3 Belle of the Turf at Gosford last time because the track was a soft 7. Four of her five wins were on good tracks and his record rating is higher than anything else in the element. Sword Point is starting to show his true colors now that he’s got some racing and fitness experience under his belt. It will always reach 2,000m – and now it is. It will never be as easy as looking at a piece of paper, but history suggests that whatever beats Neffler – if anything happens, wins.
the bet: Amika in every direction
Race 6: Stock Hurdles (1500m)
Abstract: For Valor he has won four times in his last five starts, which is no small feat. He is a well-known leader who begs the question, what does a 9 out of 9 barrier mean to him? Probably not so much, negatively, since it would be tripped up positively. It’s always hard to get past Tulloch Lodgers. Blesk will be dictated by what happens with For Valor up front as if he was the one running the hardest and fastest at the end.
the bet: Plesk to win
Race 7: Schweppes Hurdles (1100m)
Abstract: The Bopper has seen a boom since day one; The first day is the record debut of no less than winning course. He had absolutely no right to win first place, it was amazing to see where he ended up considering where he was at the start. Mr. Mosaic will probably be the fastest horse race in Rosehill this weekend, so he will at least give his supporters a run for their money. I love the way I tried Belluci Babe at Warwick Farm that day. It has perfect prime numbers and some real depth to its shape.
the bet: Pep Bellucci to win
Race 8: Mouse Hurdle (1200m)
Abstract: I would suggest that hypervoltage was at its worst first. He loomed large for a win but peaked while running like many did that day. Experienced now. Mensa Missile has 2 alleys here, so it wouldn’t be anywhere else but the front and would definitely be at its peak if it wasn’t already. That’s the last thing for Waller, a Rubamos eunuch who has a better draw – 1 – but if he has to take a place from the Mensa Missile, he can and will still be just as effective. Fashchanel has barrier 3 that will keep her close at all the time.
the bet: Super effort to win
Race 9: Rosehill Bowling Club (1200m)
Abstract: El Buena got the James McDonald treatment to win here on December 4. Wasn’t it hurt that he jumped barrier 2 a day, so what did Gate 10 do to his chances this time? Sure, it doesn’t help but there’s no need to abandon the ship. The Olympic legend has a great style that undoubtedly explains his good hitting rate. You can almost count on the Key Largo being the fastest 400m/200m here. Perigord is in great shape for a comeback, as he looks closely at trial.
the bet: All direction Perigord
Race 10: Ned Whiskey Hurdle (1100m)
Super Emboss Relationship Star Sherry won 3 out of 6 and was placed twice. Sure, this is her first big test but you won’t find a better “trial horse” at a Rosehill meeting. Irish owners are missing a little consistency but they pay for it in weights. The Steel Diamond, ranked third after Bivouac, was the first to catch the eye. Forzanini is as brave as its name and gets here with a favorable lot and attractive weight.
the bet: Cherry star to win
Originally published as Rosehill Racing: Shayne O’Cass Tips and Extended Preview
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